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Red89
463318.6
618817.6
433453.4
Blue84
461334.8
511713.5
473321.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83640501001502008984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.7
47.548.2
Auto10.9
Teleop37.0
End5.5
red by 18.7
4613
#12
34.81.3
33.935.2
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
Second
4633
#31
18.61.2
13.214.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.0
blue by 2.7
4733
#27
21.32.1
15.617.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Third
6188
#34
17.61.2
17.418.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.8
red by 4.1
5117
#33
13.52.1
15.517.6
Auto1.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed