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Red100
28829.4
616924.3
201349.1
Blue75
589725.1
463427.2
506412.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10045015020010075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.7
45.846.5
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
red by 21.9
27.22.0
19.621.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Second
288
#9
29.40.7
25.526.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End4.8
red by 4.4
5897
#13
25.12.0
19.021.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Third
6169
#22
24.31.2
17.718.9
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End3.6
red by 11.8
5064
#36
12.42.0
13.115.2
Auto1.5
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed