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Red87
433453.4
617825.1
449715.7
Blue78
563025.7
618817.6
610620.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955101502008778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.2
48.248.0
Auto10.9
Teleop37.0
End5.5
red by 27.7
5630
#24
25.71.9
21.723.6
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Second
6178
#17
25.10.4
19.819.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5
red by 5.0
6106
#20
20.11.2
15.316.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Third
4497
#19
15.70.4
17.617.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End2.1
blue by 2.0
6188
#34
17.61.9
18.620.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed