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Red10
461334.8
559710.4
24417.9
Blue100
393324.0
608231.4
501529.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6567102030405060809010010100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#12
34.83.8
35.231.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
red by 3.4
31.44.2
23.627.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
244
#28
17.93.8
21.718.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 11.9
5015
#23
29.94.2
20.724.9
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End4.3
Third
5597
#35
10.46.3
9.43.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 13.6
3933
#30
24.02.5
17.520.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned