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Red50
511713.5
148222.9
213030.0
Blue93
28829.4
21629.4
608231.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67850501001505093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#14
30.01.9
33.231.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End6.9
blue by 1.3
31.41.5
27.929.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
1482
#16
22.91.2
17.716.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End4.7
blue by 6.5
288
#9
29.40.9
26.627.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End4.8
Third
5117
#33
13.51.9
16.614.7
Auto1.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 15.9
216
#25
29.40.9
25.226.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed