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Red52
559710.4
610620.1
589725.1
Blue68
462729.0
461334.8
572523.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33950501505268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5897
#13
25.11.2
21.923.1
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.0
blue by 9.7
4613
#12
34.81.4
31.430.1
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
Second
6106
#20
20.10.7
16.517.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
blue by 8.9
29.01.4
26.224.8
Auto7.3
Teleop18.3
End3.4
Third
5597
#35
10.41.2
3.24.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 12.7
23.12.3
25.823.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed