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Red98
563025.7
501529.9
335424.4
Blue119
463427.2
321139.3
201349.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6211605010015020098119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5015
#23
29.92.8
24.927.7
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End4.3
blue by 19.2
49.10.9
47.148.0
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
Second
5630
#24
25.72.8
23.626.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End4.2
blue by 13.6
39.30.9
35.636.6
Auto13.4
Teleop21.3
End4.6
Third
3354
#10
24.41.7
19.421.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
blue by 2.8
27.21.6
22.123.7
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned