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Red76
617825.1
507825.8
604121.1
Blue69
600816.8
460424.4
473321.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65610501001502007669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.8
22.723.6
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End5.3
red by 1.4
4604
#18
24.40.9
22.323.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Second
6178
#17
25.10.9
19.520.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5
red by 3.9
4733
#27
21.31.0
20.021.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Third
6041
#21
21.10.9
20.321.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
red by 4.4
6008
#29
16.81.0
17.418.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed