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Red70
610620.1
506412.4
21629.4
Blue74
321628.1
511713.5
462729.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60672040801001207074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#25
29.40.7
26.126.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End4.3
red by 0.4
29.00.4
24.825.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.3
End3.4
Second
6106
#20
20.10.7
17.217.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
blue by 7.9
3216
#15
28.10.6
24.224.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
5064
#36
12.41.2
15.917.1
Auto1.5
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 1.0
5117
#33
13.50.6
14.715.3
Auto1.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed