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Red54
616924.3
463318.6
21629.4
Blue99
563025.7
321139.3
617825.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576402040801001201405499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#25
29.40.2
24.123.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End4.3
blue by 9.9
39.33.6
26.530.1
Auto13.4
Teleop21.3
End4.6
Second
6169
#22
24.38.9
24.315.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End3.6
blue by 1.4
5630
#24
25.74.2
19.323.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Third
4633
#31
18.60.3
16.816.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.0
blue by 6.6
6178
#17
25.15.3
25.119.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed