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Red60
608231.4
618817.6
604121.1
Blue39
511822.9
462521.1
463427.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475301001502002503003506039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.412.9
30.017.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 4.2
27.21.3
16.114.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Second
6041
#21
21.14.1
21.117.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 1.8
5118
#32
22.91.3
19.017.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Third
6188
#34
17.60.5
17.617.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 3.5
4625
#26
21.11.3
15.814.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed