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Red30
473321.3
506412.4
401027.4
Blue56
610620.1
393324.0
572523.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52552030406070803056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#11
27.42.2
20.017.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End2.9
red by 3.4
3933
#30
24.00.6
19.119.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Second
4733
#27
21.32.8
17.014.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End4.0
blue by 1.8
23.10.8
18.819.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Third
5064
#36
12.42.8
18.215.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 7.7
6106
#20
20.10.6
10.511.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed