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Red100
201349.1
462521.1
572523.1
Blue69
463318.6
393324.0
449715.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10348015010069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.5
49.650.1
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
red by 25.1
3933
#30
24.00.9
21.922.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Second
23.10.8
24.325.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End4.3
red by 4.5
4633
#31
18.61.4
18.519.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.0
Third
4625
#26
21.10.8
18.419.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End2.2
red by 5.4
4497
#19
15.71.5
14.816.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed