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Qual 492016 Western Canada Regional
Red114
433453.4
460424.4
507825.8
Blue77
501529.9
618817.6
401027.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987205015020011477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#1
53.41.5
51.0→52.5
Auto10.9
Teleop37.0
End5.5
red by 23.6
5015
#23
29.90.4
27.7→28.0
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End4.3
Second
5078
#8
25.82.3
20.4→22.7
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End5.3
blue by 1.6
4010
#11
27.40.2
25.5→25.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End2.9
Third
4604
#18
24.42.3
20.0→22.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.9
red by 6.7
6188
#34
17.60.3
20.3→20.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed