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Red85
511822.9
462729.0
617825.1
Blue84
600816.8
201349.1
511713.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658802040801001201401608584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.9
26.827.7
Auto7.3
Teleop18.3
End3.4
blue by 20.1
2013
#2DQ
49.10.2
50.149.9
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
Second
6178
#17
25.11.3
20.421.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5
red by 8.3
6008
#29
16.80.3
18.418.1
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Third
5118
#32
22.91.4
19.621.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End2.3
red by 9.4
5117
#33
13.50.3
13.813.4
Auto1.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed