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Red89
563025.7
462521.1
461334.8
Blue85
148222.9
24417.9
393324.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825701001502008985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#12
34.80.8
32.433.2
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
red by 10.7
3933
#30
24.01.7
22.824.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Second
5630
#24
25.71.2
24.726.0
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 2.8
1482
#16
22.91.7
19.921.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End4.7
Third
4625
#26
21.11.2
19.220.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End2.2
red by 3.2
244
#28
17.91.7
16.818.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed