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Red36
572523.1
511713.5
618817.6
Blue130
201349.1
148222.9
433453.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46142010020025036130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.12.0
24.722.7
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End4.3
blue by 30.3
53.40.1
52.552.6
Auto10.9
Teleop37.0
End5.5
Second
6188
#34
17.62.0
20.718.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 31.5
49.10.1
49.950.0
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
Third
5117
#33
13.52.0
13.411.4
Auto1.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 9.4
1482
#16
22.90.1
21.621.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsEarned