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Red69
507825.8
463318.6
610620.1
Blue75
604121.1
24417.9
463427.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626702040801001201406975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.3
23.623.8
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End5.3
blue by 1.4
27.21.0
25.926.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Second
6106
#20
20.10.2
20.020.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
blue by 1.0
6041
#21
21.10.9
20.121.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
4633
#31
18.60.3
17.417.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.0
red by 0.6
244
#28
17.90.7
18.519.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed