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Red71
506412.4
608231.4
461334.8
Blue74
335424.4
460424.4
449715.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83610501001502007174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#12
34.80.4
33.232.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
red by 10.4
3354
#10
24.40.4
24.124.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
Second
31.40.5
29.428.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 7.0
4604
#18
24.40.6
23.223.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Third
5064
#36
12.40.5
14.614.0
Auto1.5
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 3.2
4497
#19
15.70.6
15.115.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed