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Red70
401027.4
559710.4
511822.9
Blue87
563025.7
321628.1
616924.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528302040601001201407087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#11
27.41.0
25.726.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End2.9
blue by 0.7
3216
#15
28.11.0
27.328.3
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Second
5118
#32
22.91.4
21.022.4
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End2.3
blue by 2.8
5630
#24
25.71.0
26.026.9
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Third
5597
#35
10.41.3
8.69.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 13.9
6169
#22
24.31.0
22.723.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed