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Red29
297321.8
291822.9
146627.5
Blue61
585817.0
53820.8
170622.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575101001502961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#28
27.52.8
20.617.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 4.8
1706
#35
22.70.9
17.318.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Second
2918
#25
22.92.8
16.313.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 2.2
538
#51
20.81.0
17.118.1
Auto8.9
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Third
2973
#18
21.82.8
17.614.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
red by 4.8
5858
#43
17.03.5
20.416.9
Auto9.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed