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Red30
610720.5
619818.6
80123.8
Blue82
339725.5
500631.4
190225.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527701001502003082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#44
23.82.2
23.321.1
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 7.6
31.41.0
26.427.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
6107
#34
20.57.6
20.512.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.0
blue by 5.2
1902
#14
25.71.1
22.323.4
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End5.3
Third
6198
#41
18.65.7
18.612.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End3.7
blue by 6.9
3397
#16
25.50.9
22.123.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed