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Red67
584519.9
418841.2
386124.0
Blue117
339725.5
125132.7
11861.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611520406010014016018067117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.8
37.136.3
Auto9.9
Teleop24.5
End6.8
blue by 19.9
118
#2
61.10.4
53.453.8
Auto16.9
Teleop34.9
End9.2
Second
3861
#29
24.01.4
21.119.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 8.7
32.70.4
31.031.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End4.5
Third
5845
#17
19.91.4
21.319.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End4.5
blue by 5.6
3397
#16
25.50.4
21.421.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned