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Red67
619818.6
278331.3
219017.4
Blue70
349028.7
547226.3
331925.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5683020401001201406770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#10
31.30.3
23.223.4
Auto8.4
Teleop19.5
End3.5
red by 2.6
3490
#15
28.70.5
23.823.3
Auto7.1
Teleop16.2
End5.5
Second
6198
#41
18.60.4
14.314.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End3.7
blue by 7.7
5472
#19
26.30.4
30.229.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.6
End5.1
Third
2190
#39
17.40.4
20.621.0
Auto9.3
Teleop7.4
End0.8
blue by 8.1
3319
#26
25.50.7
22.421.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed