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Red105
1653.3
170622.7
146627.5
Blue78
571715.9
80123.8
34333.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956420408012014010578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
53.30.8
47.648.4
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End14.2
red by 20.1
343
#23
33.20.8
29.230.1
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Second
1466
#28
27.51.3
19.821.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 3.7
801
#44
23.80.7
22.523.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
1706
#35
22.70.8
20.721.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 6.9
5717
#42
15.91.2
15.116.4
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed