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Red59
504534.6
333715.1
616314.4
Blue35
402030.2
381420.7
53820.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63664050607080905935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.2
30.530.3
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.2
red by 4.4
4020
#20
30.23.2
24.020.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End6.5
Second
3337
#46
15.10.2
16.716.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 5.6
538
#51
20.81.9
19.918.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Third
6163
#37
14.40.3
14.514.2
Auto1.9
Teleop11.4
End1.2
blue by 6.3
3814
#47
20.73.2
19.716.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed