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Red39
190225.7
28321.9
94520.9
Blue90
45635.4
455321.4
297321.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74694060801001203990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#14
25.72.4
27.525.1
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End5.3
blue by 9.7
456
#6
35.41.5
33.534.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
283
#11
21.92.4
23.821.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End4.2
red by 0.1
2973
#18
21.82.4
15.317.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Third
945
#36
20.92.2
20.218.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 0.4
4553
#49
21.42.4
19.421.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed