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Red60
53820.8
455321.4
396621.3
Blue86
615813.9
44222.0
125132.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60633040507080906086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4553
#49
21.40.1
21.821.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 11.3
32.71.3
31.432.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End4.5
Second
3966
#48
21.30.1
19.419.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End1.3
blue by 0.7
442
#24
22.02.2
17.519.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Third
538
#51
20.80.1
18.018.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.5
End3.3
red by 6.9
6158
#45
13.92.2
12.314.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed