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Red107
36440.1
278331.3
503425.4
Blue119
395930.0
1653.3
291822.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710020406080120140160107119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#32
40.12.5
34.336.8
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
blue by 13.2
16
#1
53.31.8
48.450.1
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End14.2
Second
2783
#10
31.32.5
23.425.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.5
End3.5
red by 1.3
3959
#21
30.01.8
27.829.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Third
5034
#38
25.44.1
12.316.4
Auto2.5
Teleop19.7
End3.2
red by 2.5
2918
#25
22.93.0
16.219.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned