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Red95
610720.5
571715.9
11861.1
Blue117
45635.4
28321.9
17948.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79110406010012014016095117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
61.10.9
53.854.7
Auto16.9
Teleop34.9
End9.2
red by 12.7
179
#3
48.31.0
46.347.3
Auto10.5
Teleop27.5
End10.3
Second
6107
#34
20.51.5
11.412.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.0
blue by 14.9
456
#6
35.41.0
34.935.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Third
5717
#42
15.91.5
16.417.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End3.4
blue by 6.1
283
#11
21.91.0
21.422.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsEarned