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Red101
531723.7
190225.7
504534.6
Blue112
418841.2
146627.5
7935.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7599204060120140101112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.6
31.833.4
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.2
blue by 6.5
41.20.9
36.337.2
Auto9.9
Teleop24.5
End6.8
Second
1902
#14
25.71.6
25.126.7
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End5.3
blue by 9.6
79
#13
35.30.9
32.933.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.0
End8.4
Third
5317
#31
23.71.6
19.721.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End3.1
blue by 3.8
1466
#28
27.51.6
23.625.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned