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Red50
518018.7
455321.4
492419.9
Blue72
616314.4
80123.8
503425.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595302040801005072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4553
#49
21.40.7
23.322.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 4.1
5034
#38
25.42.0
19.121.1
Auto2.5
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Second
4924
#33
19.90.7
18.017.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 3.9
801
#44
23.81.3
23.524.8
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
5180
#27
18.70.4
15.214.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End2.0
red by 4.3
6163
#37
14.42.0
10.012.0
Auto1.9
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed