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Red92
53820.8
331925.5
36440.1
Blue104
418841.2
610720.5
45635.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8495406012014016092104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#32
40.10.6
38.138.6
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
blue by 1.1
41.20.9
37.138.0
Auto9.9
Teleop24.5
End6.8
Second
3319
#26
25.50.9
26.627.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End4.4
blue by 9.9
456
#6
35.40.9
36.737.6
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Third
538
#51
20.80.6
18.719.3
Auto8.9
Teleop8.5
End3.3
red by 0.2
6107
#34
20.51.4
16.718.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned