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Red71
500631.4
333715.1
547226.3
Blue116
297321.8
396621.3
1653.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7895406012014016071116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.5
32.431.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
blue by 21.9
16
#1
53.31.8
52.754.5
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End14.2
Second
5472
#19
26.30.5
30.329.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.6
End5.1
red by 4.5
2973
#18
21.82.7
16.018.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Third
3337
#46
15.10.5
15.815.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 6.2
3966
#48
21.32.7
20.823.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned