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Qual 742016 Rocket City Regional
Red93
1653.3
615813.9
3421.8
Blue100
331925.5
190225.7
17948.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92113608010012014016018093100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
53.30.6
54.5→53.9
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End14.2
red by 5.0
179
#3
48.30.4
51.2→50.8
Auto10.5
Teleop27.5
End10.3
Second
34
#22
21.80.6
21.4→20.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End4.6
blue by 3.9
1902
#14
25.70.4
27.6→27.2
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End5.3
Third
6158
#45
13.90.9
16.4→15.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.7
blue by 11.7
3319
#26
25.50.6
27.5→26.9
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed