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Red101
395930.0
297321.8
349028.7
Blue68
146627.5
555114.9
610720.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8159204010012014010168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#21
30.01.4
29.430.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 2.5
1466
#28
27.50.7
27.928.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End5.0
Second
3490
#15
28.71.4
26.928.3
Auto7.1
Teleop16.2
End5.5
red by 8.2
6107
#34
20.50.7
18.118.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Third
2973
#18
21.82.0
18.820.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
red by 6.9
5551
#40
14.90.7
14.615.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed