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Qual 12016 Archimedes Division
Red95
451931.8
23631.3
393232.2
Blue89
459021.3
49837.1
363029.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87910501502002503009589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#12
32.20.3
29.4→29.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End4.6
blue by 5.0
498
#72
37.10.0
36.2→36.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End3.9
Second
4519
#25
31.80.3
26.5→26.8
Auto10.3
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 2.7
3630
#68
29.10.0
31.9→32.0
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End5.0
Third
236
#38
31.30.3
29.2→29.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.4
red by 10.0
4590
#65
21.30.1
20.2→20.2
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed