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Red106
154044.5
198651.3
313525.3
Blue104
321137.8
540437.4
453422.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14393406080120160180200106104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#16
51.31.7
55.153.4
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
red by 13.5
3211
#23
37.80.4
39.339.7
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End2.6
Second
1540
#33
44.51.7
48.546.8
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End3.9
red by 7.2
5404
#74
37.40.4
38.138.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Third
3135
#43
25.32.1
28.025.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
red by 2.5
4534
#54
22.90.4
20.420.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
55%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed