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Red115
505043.3
363029.1
198651.3
Blue91
139131.7
131039.4
493127.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281005015020011591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#16
51.30.7
51.951.2
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
red by 11.9
1310
#11
39.41.0
42.741.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.1
End9.2
Second
5050
#27
43.30.7
40.239.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
red by 11.7
1391
#19
31.71.0
32.030.9
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End5.0
Third
3630
#68
29.10.7
28.527.8
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End5.0
red by 2.0
4931
#22
27.11.0
26.725.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
42%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsMissed