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Red131
451931.8
400346.0
20743.1
Blue68
491137.2
313525.3
587622.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126855010015020013168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.01.0
44.845.8
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
red by 8.8
4911
#18
37.21.7
39.637.9
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
Second
207
#44
43.11.0
41.042.0
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End11.3
red by 17.8
3135
#43
25.31.7
24.923.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Third
4519
#25
31.81.0
30.731.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 9.6
5876
#66
22.21.7
24.122.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed