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Red112
540437.4
18040.1
258633.2
Blue116
562432.2
456450.6
603226.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110116406080100140160112116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#24
40.10.0
40.240.2
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
blue by 10.5
50.60.1
53.153.0
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
Second
5404
#74
37.40.0
35.635.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 5.2
5624
#31
32.20.1
32.232.1
Auto9.5
Teleop19.3
End3.4
Third
2586
#15
33.20.0
31.731.7
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End4.9
red by 6.3
6032
#56
26.90.1
26.926.8
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsMissed70%Capture oddsMissed