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Red125
587838.1
353442.5
4536.8
Blue81
338925.9
192332.8
49837.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121995015012581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.7
41.342.1
Auto7.9
Teleop22.3
End12.3
red by 5.3
498
#72
37.11.2
38.036.8
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End3.9
Second
5878
#17
38.10.7
36.236.9
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End6.1
red by 5.3
1923
#36
32.81.2
33.432.2
Auto8.9
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Third
45
#7
36.80.7
36.537.2
Auto9.5
Teleop23.2
End4.2
red by 11.0
3389
#63
25.91.2
27.826.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
82%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsMissed