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Red102
206437.7
98025.9
10736.9
Blue116
451931.8
174742.1
360235.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051166080140160180102116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.4
40.540.0
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
blue by 4.5
42.10.0
43.443.4
Auto14.8
Teleop21.8
End5.5
Second
107
#51
36.90.4
37.437.0
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
red by 1.1
3602
#47
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End7.5
Third
980
#70
25.90.4
25.825.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
blue by 5.9
4519
#25
31.80.0
31.731.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed42%Capture oddsMissed