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Red96
541023.3
197321.3
131842.1
Blue127
418337.6
125734.7
198651.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781385010015020096127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#28
42.10.8
43.544.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
blue by 9.2
1986
#16
51.30.2
51.251.0
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
Second
5410
#60
23.30.8
21.622.4
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 14.2
4183
#29
37.60.2
38.538.3
Auto12.8
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Third
1973
#67
21.30.8
19.320.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End3.8
blue by 13.4
1257
#10
34.70.2
35.435.2
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned63%Capture oddsMissed