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Red96
363029.1
491137.2
120829.7
Blue114
83933.7
288133.4
585820.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10082406012014016096114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#18
37.20.1
37.938.0
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
red by 3.5
839
#42
33.71.8
32.434.2
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
Second
1208
#61
29.70.1
29.129.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
blue by 3.7
2881
#57
33.41.8
31.333.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
Third
3630
#68
29.10.1
27.827.9
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End5.0
red by 8.8
5858
#26
20.41.8
18.920.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed