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Red104
603528.6
505043.3
450825.7
Blue71
540138.0
352720.5
162931.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921002040608012014016018010471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#27
43.30.9
39.540.3
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
red by 5.3
5401
#50
38.01.7
40.438.7
Auto9.2
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Second
6035
#13
28.60.9
26.827.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End4.7
blue by 3.3
1629
#52
31.91.7
33.632.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
4508
#40
25.70.9
24.525.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
red by 5.2
3527
#64
20.51.7
21.820.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsMissed