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Red113
198651.3
206437.7
40133.2
Blue95
450825.7
598723.5
49837.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1387905010015020011395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#16
51.31.2
51.049.8
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
red by 14.2
498
#72
37.10.3
36.837.1
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End3.9
Second
37.71.2
40.038.9
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
red by 12.0
4508
#40
25.70.3
25.425.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Third
401
#49
33.21.2
34.433.2
Auto9.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
red by 9.7
5987
#62
23.50.3
23.223.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
54%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed