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Red91
482826.1
98025.9
23631.3
Blue128
456450.6
418337.6
491137.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741435010020091128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#38
31.30.6
31.331.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.4
blue by 19.4
50.60.8
53.052.3
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
Second
4828
#45
26.10.6
25.526.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
blue by 11.5
4183
#29
37.60.8
38.337.6
Auto12.8
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Third
980
#70
25.90.6
25.425.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
blue by 11.3
4911
#18
37.20.8
38.037.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed65%Capture oddsEarned