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Red124
540437.4
233840.6
542223.0
Blue114
592632.6
99936.9
363029.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009720406080120140160180124114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#35
40.61.8
40.041.8
Auto9.7
Teleop27.8
End3.1
red by 3.7
999
#14
36.91.3
35.536.8
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
Second
5404
#74
37.41.8
35.637.4
Auto10.6
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 4.7
5926
#59
32.61.3
31.432.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End8.1
Third
5422
#73
23.01.8
21.223.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.2
End3.9
blue by 6.1
3630
#68
29.11.3
27.929.1
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed