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Red97
393232.2
400346.0
585820.4
Blue108
502427.0
139131.7
125734.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106922040608012014016018097108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.3
47.947.6
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
red by 11.3
1257
#10
34.71.1
35.236.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Second
3932
#12
32.20.3
32.432.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End4.6
red by 0.5
1391
#19
31.71.1
30.631.7
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End5.0
Third
5858
#26
20.40.3
20.720.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
blue by 6.6
5024
#46
27.01.1
26.027.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed57%Capture oddsMissed